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Egypt’s stable pound offers lesson in loosening FX restrictions

Egypt’s stable pound offers lesson in loosening FX restrictions The Egyptian Pound has been one of the strongest-performing African, and indeed emerging market, currencies since the start of 2019, on the back of improving investor confidence and the government’s economic stimulus package. The currency appreciated by more than 2% from a low of 16.22 against the US dollar since […]

Shilling pressured as Ugandans vote; Business as usual means weaker Naira

Business as usual means weaker Naira The Naira dipped against the dollar to 475, the second slide since the start of the year in the unofficial market. Rising dollar demand and a shortfall in FX supply are putting pressure on the local currency as commercial activities returning to normal means businesses sourcing imports to meet […]

Africa FX risk downside amidst 2021 recovery

FX risk skewed to downside amidst 2021 recovery  With the new year’s trading now in full swing, we reiterate our 2021 outlook for moderate depreciation of sub-Saharan currencies—between 5.50% and 9.99% against the dollar—given the lag effects of the economic fallout from COVID-19, softened commodity prices in the global market, and rising risk of debt […]

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